Win at Casinos – The Laws of Probability Versus Possibility

There are thousands of casinos around at the moment, both online and land based, and thousands of websites offering tips on how to beat them. But can it be done? Can you find a source of betting systems that don’t require you to pay $100’s up-front with no proof that they work? Can any betting system work at a casino?

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I believe, that with the right system, and most importantly, the right discipline, it can be done. Casinos typically work to a ‘House Edge’ of 1 to 5%. For every $100 gambled, the player will lose $1 to $5. It doesn’t sound like much, but in a multi-billion dollar industry it’s enough to make online casinos some of the most profitable sites in the world, and to build Las Vegas up from nothing in just a few years สล็อตออนไลน์.

Many people will tell you that it is impossible to overturn this edge, and from a purely mathematical point of view they are correct. The Laws of Probability mean that you cannot turn a negative into a positive. If you are playing Roulette, and Black has come up 10 times in a row, the odds of it coming up next time are still 50/50. (Ignoring the ‘0’ and ’00’) According to the Laws of Probability, there is no reason why Black cannot come up 100 times in a row. This argument, while scientifically sound, ignores the Law of Possibility, which means that in the real world, the chances of Black coming up 100 times in a row is so slight that it can be ignored.

This doesn’t mean that you can gamble recklessly and expect to win. You need a good system, and the discipline to quit while you are ahead, which is where most gambling systems come apart. Set yourself the target of winning, say, $50, and quit as soon as you have achieved it.

The most common system you will see advertised comes under many different names, but is generally known as The Martingale System. You will be told to bet on Red or Black at the Roulette table, and double your stake after a loss. Starting at $1, you would, after consecutive losses bet like this – $2, $4, $8, $16, $32, $64, $128, $256, all for a $1 return on a winner. The next bet would exceed the table limit at many casinos, and 9 consecutive losses is too common to make this system work, so avoid it at all costs.


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